Partho Sarathi Ray
Science and the Age of Enlightenment
Modern science, as we know it today, is the daughter of the European Enlightenment. That age of intellectual ferment beginning in the early 18th century established “reason”, instead of divinely ordained revelation, as the basis of knowledge. At its core was the questioning of traditional institutions, morals, and customs which had previously upheld the supremacy of the church in the intellectual sphere, and feudal relations in the social sphere. In this intellectual atmosphere, science, the process of systematic pursuit of knowledge, underwent a huge qualitative change from its earlier reliance on scriptures and classical Greek authorities like Aristotle, into a methodology dependent on reason, critical questioning, and establishment of clear relationship between cause and effect by direct observation. As Rene Descartes, one of the intellectual giants of the Enlightenment, famously declared, and Karl Marx, probably the most complete intellectual offspring of the Enlightenment, adopted as his favourite motto, “de omnibus dubitandum“, that is, “Doubt everything”, became the reigning methodology of scientific enquiry.(1) Based on this methodology of critical questioning emphasized by the rationalists like Descartes, Spinoza and Leibniz, and the complementary methodology of direct observation emphasized by empiricists like Locke, Berkeley and Hume, modern science was born, and further developed over the period of three hundred years. Therefore science, as we know it today, is considered to be an objective understanding of nature, a system of knowledge that explains the material basis of reality, independent of the nature of the observer and transcending the social or political conditions of the time.
Modern science is one of the greatest intellectual triumphs of humanity, as man has taken a giant leap forward from the infancy of his curiosity, when every natural phenomenon bore divine or diabolical agency, to an age where all of his questions seem to be answerable under the powerful illumination of science. Science seems to have revealed objective truths about material reality, truths independent of the time and space of their discovery, truths for all ages, truths that give science the aura of transcendence. And attesting to this power of science has been the great advances of technology that have sent humans to the moon and given us insights into the very basis of life.
The dialectical nature of science
As practicing scientists, this aura of objectivity of science gives us a sense of destiny, makes us feel that we are in the pursuit of understanding material reality as it is, independent of the subjective conditions around us. And to the layperson this makes science appear to be infallible and all-powerful, representative of ultimate truths. However, this objectivism in science also opens the door to a mechanical materialism as science is now thought to deal with objective properties of matter that transcends the subjective conditions that might be a result of human activity, although science is essentially a human activity. It also gives rise to reductionism and determinism, where the properties of smaller and smaller parts of matter are thought to solely influence the properties of “wholes”, in increasing orders of magnitude. Marx, who had also arrived at a materialist conception of the world, however rejected this mechanical materialism, instead insisting on a dialectical analysis of nature that recognized that humans and nature exist in a coevolutionary, and interactive, relationship.(2) Engels’ Dialectics of Nature was an unfinished attempt in this direction which was advanced by a generation of British scientists in the 1930’s, who were committed to a historical materialist and dialectical philosophy.(3) These scientists, Hyman Levy, Lancelot Hogben, J. D. Bernal, Joseph Needham, J. B. S. Haldane, and historian/philosopher of science Benjamin Farrington – struggled to retain within the emerging natural sciences the possibility of dialectical uncertainty and opposed their reduction to the mechanistic materialism which has been the reigning philosophy of science.(4) Growing out of the work of these early critical intellectuals, though undeveloped and still at times insufficiently dialectical, a more developed science grounded in materialist dialectics came to the fore in the 1960s and 1970s with the work of Marxist-influenced biologists – particularly Richard Lewontin, Richard Levins, and Stephen Jay Gould at Harvard, then the leading center of evolutionary biology. Their work provided a genuinely dialectical materialist approach to science that questioned some of the long-held beliefs about the transcendence of science and suggested that science, and our understanding of it, is a product of the dialectical relationships between humans and nature and between humans and their social condition.
Science and capitalism
To understand this dialectical nature of science, we need to look at the socio-economic context in which modern science was born and have henceforth developed. At the time when the Enlightenment was changing the intellectual horizon of Europe, the socio-economic conditions were also being fundamentally and irreversibly changed by the birth of a new mode of production, capitalism. As the Enlightenment was questioning the traditions that upheld the feudalistic relations of production, capitalism was breaking down the same production relations. The two processes were so complementary, that looking at it from the basis of historical materialism, we can understand that the material basis for the intellectual ferment that gave rise to the Enlightenment was actually the change that was happening in the way in which the productive property was owned and controlled, combined with the corresponding changes in the social relations between individuals based on their connection with the process of production. As the feudal nobility and the church was losing the ownership and control over the means of production and the serf, previously bonded to his feudal master and his estate, was becoming an agent free to sell his labour, the intellectual climate that had upheld these relations for the past five hundred year or so, was also disappearing. The idealism inherent in the philosophical thought of the previous centuries had looked at the world as an idealized place, divinely conceived and maintained, where man’s relationship with nature, just as his relationship with other members of the society, was static and ideal. These ideas of stasis and stability were being fundamentally changed into a notion of natural and social evolution. Change was in the air, and change was in the thoughts of the intellectual giants of the time. And out of this ferment was born modern science, with the imprint of the times as its birthmark. Therefore, if the Enlightenment is the mother of modern science, the father is undoubtedly capitalism. And the new science, as it developed, carried the indelible marks of this birth, such that science, as we understand it today, is capitalist science. The concept of change, of impermanence, which was so important to the process of replacement of feudalism by capitalism, also became a central tenet of science. Just as the ideas of change in society were formalized and systemized by Marx in his historical materialism, the concept of change in nature was ordained as the central tenet of the theory of evolution by Darwin, undoubtedly one of the greatest scientific achievements of all times. The idea of the constancy of change, rather than constancy itself, has become a central idea of science, and especially of biology.
Capitalism also put the individual as the central player in society. It was no more the church, or the nobility, or the royal families that owned the means of production in society. It was no more the serf tied to his master and his land by ancient feudal relations who was required for the mode of production that capitalism was engendering. Instead, it was the free individual, freed from the age-old ties of kinship and loyalty, from the hierarchy of the church, free to sell his goods and labour power, the bourgeoisie and the proletariat, who was the motive force behind the capitalistic mode of production. This new emphasis on the individual was celebrated in John Locke’s Two Treatises of Government, where he stated that individuals in society had “natural rights”, including the right to property.(5) Locke’s writing had great influence on the bourgeois revolutions of the 18th century, the American and French revolutions. This celebration of individualism in the social sphere left its imprint over scientific thought, in the form of Cartesian reductionism.(6) Descartes contributed the idea of studying smaller and smaller parts of matter to understand the nature of material reality, and this methodology called “reductionism” is universally followed in science today. Reductionism placed the atom in the centre of the physical world, just as the individual occupied the centre of the social. This idea of the freely-interacting atom, free to make and break bonds with other atoms, gave birth to the atomic theory of matter and the to fields of nuclear physics, and later of quantum mechanics, areas that defined scientific enquiry in the 20th century.
Reductionism has also played a very influential role in biology. The rediscovery of the laws of heredity, originally formulated by the Austrian priest Gregor Johann Mendel, in early 20th century, gave birth to the field of genetics.(7) Later, the discovery of the material basis of heredity, the gene, showed that it was this all important molecule, the DNA, which transferred genetic information from the parent to the offspring, and suggested that it could determine every property of an individual, from his height to his intelligence. The gene was accorded the same place in biology that the atom had been accorded in physics and chemistry. This gave rise to what is referred to as “genetic determinism”, which, more to the awestruck common man than to the practicing biologist, meant a determination of every human trait and behaviour by the genes one carried.(8) Bourgeois ideology, which sought to justify existing social hierarchies, has utilized genetic determinism to justify and rationalize social and economic inequalities in terms of domination that was biologically derived and teleologically predetermined – whether in terms of racism, sexism, or differences in intelligence. Posited against this, and somewhat as a reaction to extreme formulations of genetic determinism, has been a sort of superorganic holism, mainly in ecology. This holism preferred to look at entire ecosystems, at the sum total of the interactions between individuals or between individuals and the environment. These two schools of thought in biology, at many times in opposition to each other, went on along with the nature versus nurture debate that rages on in biology, where the contention is whether it is the genes or the environment which controls and determines human traits and behaviour.
Dialectical biology
The above-mentioned biologists, Lewontin and Levins, and Gould, rejected these one-sided notions of mechanical reductionism and superorganic holism and the hierarchical conceptions of life and the universe that they both generate. Instead they suggest a dialectical and materialist approach that understands that the world “is constantly in motion. Constants become variables, causes become effects, and systems develop, destroying the conditions that gave rise to them”.(9) They propose that “things change because of the actions of opposing forces on them, and things are the way they are because of the temporary balance of opposing forces”.(10) This introduces a dialectical understanding of relations between organisms and nature. This is very important for biology, as biology is at the same time at the cutting edge of science today and is also close to our lives as individuals and species. Understanding of biology influences our responses to multiple things of vital importance to the well being of our society and the world, from the Nazi conception of racial superiority, to the caste divides that still render our society apart, to the religious fundamentalist opposition to the teaching of evolution in U.S. schools. An understanding of the dialectics of biology allows both practicing biologists and lay people to formulate responses to such issues without being overawed by the objectiveness and infallibility which are claimed for science.
It would be interesting to look at a particular example to illustrate the dialectical approach to biology, drawing from Lewontin and Levins’ book, The Dialectical Biologist.(11) If we look at the disease tuberculosis, which is still a major affliction of people in India, and also in other countries of the world, the reductionist approach tells that the disease is caused by the pathogenic bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis. However, from a holistic point of view it would be said that malnutrition is the cause of tuberculosis, because many people infected by the bacteria do not develop the disease if they are not suffering from malnutrition. In contrast, a dialectical understanding of biology will suggest that it is the interaction between Mycobacterium infection and nutritional status which determines whether a person will have the disease or not. So, looking at cures for tuberculosis should involve studying both these conditions which dialectically interact to bring about the disease. However, it can also be argued that many people who have healthy nutritional status also have tuberculosis after being infected by M. tuberculosis. The dialectical approach can be further extended to explain this phenomenon: in the case of nutritionally sufficient people suffering from tuberculosis, it is the dialectical relationship between the infecting bacterium and the susceptibility genes of the individual which determines whether the person will suffer from the disease or not. Therefore, at every level of interactions that exist in nature and constitute life, an entity is both a subject and object, and a dialectical analysis is necessary to understand these interactions between organisms and the environment and genes and the environment.
The field of biology where the dialectical approach is most important is evolutionary biology. Evolution by natural selection is the grand unifying theme of all modern biology and its proposition by Charles Darwin in his 1859 book On the Origin of Species was a monumental achievement in the history of science.(12) However, Darwin’s theory of natural selection was also formulated in the backdrop of the socio-economic context of his times, marked by the intense class struggle between the bourgeoisie and the working class in the well developed capitalist economy of contemporary England. Indeed, the Darwinian idea’s of the struggle for survival and the survival of the fittest was influenced by the ideas of Thomas Malthus, who in his An Essay on the Principle of Population suggested that as the rate of increase of the population is greater than the rate of increase in available resources, there is always a competition for the limited resources which results in a segment of the population being relegated to poverty.(13) Darwin’s theory of selection between the individuals of the same species, based on their “fitness” or the ability to leave the maximum number of offsprings, was therefore a product of the intellectual climate of that heyday of capitalism. However, to suggest that the theory of evolution by natural selection was the product of a certain socio-economic context certainly does not detract from its validity as the most appropriate, and proven, explanation of the diversity and complexity of life.
Darwin elevated the conditions of existence – external selection pressures – to primacy in explaining evolution, so as to establish natural selection as the dominant force behind the evolution of species. However in this process, he established a view of natural selection as predominantly one-sided – i.e., the external factors were seen as largely determining the evolutionary process, and not as equally the consequence of the evolution of life. Whereas this ultra-Darwinian view of evolution focuses nearly exclusively on the external, modern evolutionary biologists often focus nearly exclusively on the internal in their acceptance of genetic determinism. Lewontin and Levins suggested a third, a dialectical approach to understanding the interactions of internal and external factors in determining evolution, stating “natural selection is not a consequence of how well the organism solves a set of fixed problems posed by the environment; on the contrary, the environment and the organism actively codetermine each other.”(14) This focus on interactions, transformation, and historical constraints over the process of natural selection is immensely important in developing a dialectical understanding of the process of evolution. The other great evolutionary biologist, Stephen Jay Gould went further to state “the three classical laws of dialectics [formulated by Engels] embody a holistic vision that views change as interaction among components of complete systems, and sees the components themselves…as both products of and inputs to the system. Thus the law of “interpenetrating opposites” records the inextricable interdependence of components: the “transformation of quantity to quality” defends a systems-based view of change that translates incremental inputs into alterations of state; and the “negation of negation” describes the direction given to history because complex systems cannot revert exactly to previous states.”(15) Gould’s influential idea of evolution by “punctuated equilibrium”, in which organisms evolve by large leaps interspersed by long periods of evolutionary stasis explicitly follows the laws of dialectics.(16) Gould considered the dialectical laws to be explicitly punctuational. According to him “They (the laws of dialectics) speak, for example, of the ‘transformation of quantity into quality.’ This…suggests that change occurs in large leaps following a slow accumulation of stresses that a system resists until it reaches breaking point. Heat water and it eventually boils. Oppress the workers more and more and bring on the revolution.”(17) The dialectical approach is an immensely powerful methodological advance in our conception of science and is essential for the transition from “capitalist science” to a “socialist science”.
Towards a socialist science
Every epoch in human history is marked by its own intellectual tradition. Therefore, the Enlightenment, and the revolution in scientific thought that it engendered, marks the epoch of capitalism. It does not mean that science becomes subjective, but the imperatives before science, the questions scientists ask, and the methodologies adopted to answer them reflect the dominant socio-economic relations of the time. Therefore, the transition to a socialist society must be accompanied by a revolution in scientific thought that would result in the development of a “socialist science”. This new science would be based on a clear dialectical materialist understanding of the relationships between man (and all organisms) and nature, and between man and society. The failure to bring about this revolutionary change in scientific thought and practice was one of the major failings of the socialist experiments of the 20th century, and contributed in no small part to their collapse. Yet for sometime in the 1920s and early ’30s, a materialist and dialectical approach was the intellectual foundation for many prominent Soviet scientists, such as V. I. Vernadsky, N. I. Vavilov, and Alexander Oparin, in their various research projects regarding the creation of the biosphere, the original centers of the agricultural world, and the emergence of life.(18) All of this subsided, however, with the tightening grip of Stalinism in the 1930s. A more rigidly mechanistic approach became dominant in Soviet science (taking the name of “dialectical materialism” while vacating it of any meaning), putting an end to the early stages of a hopeful and exciting investigation that had begun to mark the birth of socialist science. The most adverse, and long-lasting, effect of this approach was the rise of Lysenkoism, which pretty much destroyed biology in the Soviet Union and barred the way for the budding revolution in scientific thought.(19) Trofim Lysenko, who was in charge of agricultural affairs in the Soviet Union, practiced a form of Lamarckism, which derived from the theories of heritability of acquired characteristics and had already been disproved by Darwin’s theory of evolution by natural selection.(20) With the blessings and active support of the Stalinist establishment Lysenko went about imposing these non-scientific practices, mainly in agricultural science and genetics, and denounced practicing geneticists as proponents of “fascist” or “bourgeois” science, leading to the execution of many and the imprisonment of Vavilov, the greatest Soviet biologist. Lysenkoism replaced a proper dialectical understanding of heredity and evolution by a forced belief that heredity had a limited role in evolution and changes could be brought about in organisms by human intervention which would be inherited in subsequent generations. Although these ideas were mainly adopted in agricultural practice, leading to processes like “vernalization” of wheat, it had a wider ideological implication that Soviet practices could actually purge humans of “inherited” bourgeois instincts and lead to the creation of the “socialist man”. Lysenkoism marked a complete failure of understanding the dialectical approach to science, instead adopting a mechanistic approach based on pseudo-scientific theories. When Lysenkoism was finally discarded in 1964, Soviet science tried to return to the mainstream of western scientific practice, any attempts at developing a truly dialectical approach to science having been long abandoned. A socialist science never came into being in the Soviet Union.
As the internal contradictions of capitalism are becoming more glaring, the scientific thought processes that have been the product of the capitalist era would also become insufficient for explaining, and managing, the various challenges confronting humanity. Just as science of the feudal era was replaced by capitalist science, the latter would have to be replaced by a socialist science. A dialectical understanding of science is needed in order not only to comprehend how the world came to be, but also to understand how it can be changed.
References:
(1) Descartes R. The Philosophical Writings Of Descartes in 3 vols. Cottingham, J., Stoothoff, R., Kenny, A., and Murdoch, D., trans. Cambridge University Press (1988).
(2) Foster J.B. Marx’s Ecology. Monthly Review Press (2000).
(3) Engels F. Dialectics of Nature. International publishers Co (1968).
(4) Clark B. and York R. Dialectical Nature: Reflections in Honor of the Twentieth Anniversary of Levins and Lewontin’s The Dialectical Biologist. Monthly Review (2005).
(5) Locke J. Two Treatises of Government. Book Jungle (2008).
(6) See (1)
(7) Bardoe C. Gregor Mendel: The Friar who grew peas. HN Abrams (2006).
(8) Gould J. S. The Mismeasure of Man. Revised and Expanded. Norton (1996).
(9) Levins R. and Lewontin R. C. The Dialectical Biologist. Harvard University Press (2006).
(10) Ibid.
(11) Ibid.
(12) Darwin C. The Origin of Species. Barnes and Noble Classics (2003).
(13) Malthus T. R. An Essay on the Principle of Population. Prometheus Books (1998).
(14) See (8)
(15) Gould J.S. “Nurturing Nature” in An Urchin in the Storm: Essays about Books and Ideas. Norton (1987).
(16) Gould J.S. and Eldredge N. “Punctuated equilibria: An alternative to Phyletic gradualism” in Thomas J. M. Schopf, ed. Models in Paleobiology. Freeman (1972).
(17) Gould J.S. “The Episodic Nature of Evolutionary Change” in The Panda’s Thumb. Norton (1980).
(18) See (4)
(19) See (9)
(20) Lecourt D. Proletarian Science? : The Case of Lysenko. Humanities Press (1977).



How to think about the crisis
Michael Perelman
The Financial Crisis Goes Beyond Finance
The crisis today in mortgage lending does not come as a surprise to me. I discussed the build up to the crisis in a book published last year, The Confiscation of American Prosperity (1).
The book describes more than three decades of concerted efforts to restructure the economy to respond to the antiauthoritarian spirit of the 1960s. Most important of all, the counterrevolution to the 60s was concerned about a decline in the rate of profits. The objective was to remake the United States as a capitalist’s utopia with strict market discipline for ordinary people, while showing special favors on business. Tax cuts, deregulation, and a more business-friendly legal structure became the order of the day.
In this environment, the legal framework for union organization soon became unfriendly. Success showed up relatively quickly in the labor market, where capital halted the increase of wages by 1972 – the year when real hourly wages peaked. Since then wages have oscillated but never again reached that level.
Profits began to recover, but on closer examination the recovery was unusual. In competitive industries, profits were not particularly high. Profits in producing goods concentrated in industries protected by intellectual property or government favoritism were better. But the big profits came in finance. Even major industrial firms, such as General Motors, Ford, or General Electric began relying on their financial divisions for much of their profits.
What was happening? According to the textbook model of economic growth, new productivity translates into higher wages, which, in turn, create more demand, which spurs industry to produce newer or better products, increasing productivity. In recent decades, debt rather than income spurred demand.
As profits recovered, more affluent people saw their portfolios increasing, creating what economists call the wealth effect: the increasing value of their stocks, and later of their houses, was treated as income, which generated demand. Frequently, people used their houses to borrow money to support this demand.
Production of physical goods was largely neglected. I am reminded of a conversation between Samuel Johnson and James Boswell, a quarter millennium ago. Boswell observed:
Johnson, of course, was being ironic. The philosophers of the new economy were not. They breathlessly referred to a weightless economy (3). Tom Peters, the management guru, derided old-line businesses as “Lumpy-object purveyors” (4). Even Alan Greenspan is fond of rhapsodizing about how modern production techniques are making the economy lighter and lighter:
Nobody seemed to sense that anything was awry. Leaders in the U.S. were content to let the modern equivalent of the boobies of Manchester produce their goods in Asian sweatshops, and then borrow the proceeds from their masters to support their consumption.
The game depended upon continued growth, whether illusory or real. Deregulation helped to promote illusions of prosperity. So did the dot.com hysteria of the late 1990s. When the bubble burst, the Federal Reserve came to the rescue with low interest rates. Temporarily lacking sufficient confidence in the stock market, real estate seemed a better bet.
Real estate prices soared. People could borrow more on their houses. And with rapidly rising real estate prices, people could comfortably lend money to people who could not afford the loans because, after all, real estate would always increase in value.
To make the illusion even more solid, people believed that they could avoid risk. Ratings agencies told investors that paper based on this real estate was just a shade more risky than U.S. government bonds. To seal the deal, investors sold “insurance,” which promised to cover losses if the investment would go sour.
This insurance business was so brisk that the amount of insurance sold was many times more than the face value of the investments. After all, selling this insurance was an easy way to profit from real estate market, which had ahead to go nowhere but up.
When the music stopped playing, the regulators discovered that nobody was watching the store. Far more insurance was sold than the insurers could afford to cover. The ratings agencies are putting their seal of approval on the paper to get more fees.
The government just agreed to buy up bad debt to the tune of $700 billion, bailing out both crooks and incompetents. The government debt will give the neoliberals excuse to cut more programs to help needy people, while bailing out the rich.
Something similar happened a few decades ago with another war, a different Bush, and the same John McCain. Many years ago, Lyndon Johnson, who would have just celebrated his hundredth birthday, found himself stuck in a war he couldn’t win. He also knew that if he raised taxes to pay for the war, the public would demand an immediate halt with a fury that he could not resist. Johnson relied on borrowing, which raised interest rates.
Savings and loan institutions, like the investment banks today, borrowed short and lent long. In this case, people put their savings in the banks and the banks lent out money on 30-year mortgages. To prevent gouging and make mortgages affordable, the savings and loans were prevented from paying interest rates high enough to keep depositors from exiting, which could leave them bankrupt.
The Reagan administration, including daddy Bush, moved to deregulate the savings and loans. Given this newfound freedom, crooks and nincompoops (including the current President Bush’s younger brother) rushed in to take advantage of profiting from other people’s money. As the scope of this disaster was becoming obvious, five senators, including John McCain along with Alan Greenspan (perhaps the Godfather of the recent financial crisis), rushed in to defend one of the more egregious Savings and Loan operations run by Charles Keating. Oh, yes, a small savings-and-loan in Arkansas, which was connected with Bill Clinton (who later allowed Congress to deregulate the current financial system, led by Senator Phil Gramm, John McCain’s chief economic adviser) also ran into difficulties.
The savings-and-loan scam crashed leaving the government to pick up the pieces at a cost that is still debated, but which was still well over $100 billion – pocket change today.
The difference today is that our politicians now promise effective regulation this time around, just as they did with Sarbanes-Oxley in the wake of crash of Enron and the rest of the dot.com boom.
The Financial Side of the Financial Crisis
This crisis should be a teachable moment, but speculative excesses are a part of the DNA of capitalism. Leo Tolstoy began his epic novel, Anna Karenina, with the famous observation, “All happy families resemble one another, but each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way”. Much the same can be said about depressions. Each depression seems unique and subject to as many interpretations as the most dysfunctional family. Hence what is unique to this crisis is the way that its build up departs from the general textbook model. Also, as I mentioned above, the other defining characteristic of this crisis is that debt rather than income spurred demand.
Financial assets demand a different treatment. Capital reacts with horror when wages increase, demanding the Federal Reserve to slam on the brakes. In contrast, soaring prices of financial assets are presumed to be incontrovertible evidence of a healthy economy.
The increasing value of these assets spurs people to increase consumption, often taking on debt, confident that their assets will appreciate even more. As Mark Twain observed about an earlier Gilded Age: “Beautiful credit! The foundation of modern society … “I wasn’t worth a cent two years ago, and now I owe two millions of dollars”.”
In 2000, when the excesses and frauds of Enron, World Com, and the dot.com boom came to light, financial markets shuddered. The Federal Reserve came to the rescue lowering interest rates, which reduced monthly mortgage payments, allowing people to buy more expensive housing.
Once housing prices begin to rise, housing becomes an investment as well as the source of shelter. In addition, people, who suffered losses during the dot.com bust, saw housing is a safer investment than the stock market. Housing then transmuted into personal ATM machines, allowing people to borrow freely on the rising value of their property.
Underlying this financial froth, something more ominous was occurring. Business refused to spend much for investment in productive activities. Again, the textbooks tell a different story. They teach that high profits translate into investment, which create jobs, spurring demand, and making the economy grow. Such was not the case this time around.
Earlier this year, the British financial journalist, Martin Wolf, observed:
This estimate is probably too conservative because many nonfinancial companies increasingly depend upon finance. General Electric, and in their more prosperous years, Ford and General Motors, largely depended upon finance. Retail companies offer credit cards in effect, selling insurance on their products in the form of extended warranties.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported that in 1992 about a third of all workers employed in U.S. manufacturing industries were actually doing service-type jobs (e.g., in finance, purchasing, marketing, and administration). Updating this work, needless to say, has not been a high priority for government agencies.
Corporations also spend mind-boggling quantities of money just to purchase their own stock. After all, increasing stock prices boost executives’ bonuses. For years, Exxon has been spending more money for stock buybacks than capital expenditures, all the while whining that the company needs more incentives to drill for oil.
What investment does occur is largely financed by depreciation allowances rather than previous profits. John Bellamy Foster offers an important measure of this reluctance to invest:
Finance is attractive for another reason: it employs relatively few people. The intriguingly-named FIRE sector, which includes finance, investment, and real estate, employs only about 8 percent of the private labor force. So, 8 percent of the workers generate 41 percent of the profits. Massive investments in information processing make such results possible.
Of the investment that does appear, finance may represent a disproportionate share. The government does not have recent data on types of investment by industry. The data do show that investment on information processing and software is about 37 percent greater than investment in industrial equipment and manufacturing equipment. Of course, information processing is also important in manufacturing, but the data is suggestive.
Where Did The Money Go and Will Jobs Also Disappear?
On Monday, September 29 the stock market lost more than $1 trillion, about as much money as the Gross Domestic Product for an entire month. The next day, two thirds of the value suddenly reappeared. Yet, for the most part the tumult left most people unaffected, at least for the moment. More important, will the evaporation of all of this wealth affect ordinary people?
Karl Marx’s concept of fictitious capital is very useful in understanding these wild swings. I have explored this subject in more detail in an earlier book, entitled Marx’s Crises Theory: Scarcity, Labor, and Finance.(8)
For Marx, capitalism uses markets to distribute labor into productive activities, but it does so very imperfectly. Part of the problem is that lack of knowledge about the future causes imperfect investments. These imperfections magnify as the economy seems to prosper making people become giddy about their chances of success.
Crises are capitalism’s way of purging unproductive investments. In this way, crises eventually make the economy stronger, unless they become so severe that they shatter the foundation of capitalism.
The crises will become more violent if the distribution of income becomes too lopsided, leaving investors flush with money, while consumers are relatively strapped. Massive amounts of money will flow into speculative ventures, creating bubbles. In effect, a market which is supposed to be a wonderful feedback system to inform capitalists about the needs of society, takes on a perverse logic of its own.
Eventually, the bubble pops and there is hell to pay. The question today is how extreme this shock will be. Capitalism has shown quite a bit of resilience in the past. What is happening now could turn out to be relatively mild or could be severe.
I use San Francisco as an analogy for my students. There will eventually be a serious earthquake that will do enormous damage. Nobody can predict what will happen. Even when the earth begins to tremble, the severity of the event may be in doubt.
Wall Street uses a somewhat related term, leverage, to describe the ability to magnify potential profits by investing borrowed money. When the economy begins leveraging, business borrows money to invest – not necessarily in productive assets. Leveraging can continue as long as people feel confident enough to finance these investments.
The government’s modest limits on leverage have been systematically weakened, to the point where investment banks would be putting up as little as 3 cents, and even less, for each dollar invested. The riskiness of such practice should be obvious. A mere 3% drop in the investment would wipe out the bank’s own share of the investment.
The Federal Reserve also promoted increased leverage by holding interest rates low. Other regulators also paved the way for more leverage. Companies that choose the path of lower profits and lower risks are written off as stodgy and old-fashioned. Their stocks will flounder, reducing executive’ bonuses. So, Wall Street investors willingly increased their leverage and risk. After all, investors prefer companies with high profits. Few are willing to take the time or have the expertise to understand the risks that might make profits appear high.
In Wall Street-talk, increasing leverage works so long as investors maintain a balance between fear and greed. By fear, Wall Street means a reluctance to take on too much risk. Although Wall Street normally applauds greed, it associates excess greed with a foolhardy approach toward risk. During euphoric times when fear of risk subsides, people put money in ridiculous schemes.
In his delightful book, Charles Mackay, related tales of shady operators bilking early investors a few centuries ago.
The newfound wealth during times of growing leverage can create more demand, which can increase jobs and wages. As noted previously, such has not been the case. Speculative wealth has not produced growth in wages for ordinary people or any significant growth in jobs. In fact, cutting jobs to increase profits has been a major factor in sustaining the boom. A few years ago, the business press praised this practice as financial engineering, as if it were providing a productive service.
One factor that contributed to the lopsided economic growth without jobs, which characterized the recent decades, is the practice of leveraged buyouts. Private equity companies, as they are known, buy up other companies using borrowed money, often based on the assets of the target companies. The takeover artists claim that they can create managerial efficiencies, making their takeover look attractive to potential investors. In reality, they charge their targets exorbitant fees, often paid for by debt that the companies must eventually pay back. Then, to cover this burden, the companies must cut both wages and jobs, as well as looting significant value from pension plans. Private equity businesses than turn around and sell these supposedly rejuvenated, but actually hobbled companies to an unsuspecting public, which fail to see the similarity between such investments and the perpetual motion machine that Mackay described.
In describing the necessity of a bailout for finance, the alarmists, who are not necessarily wrong, point to the job losses associated with the corporate restructurings that will follow bankruptcies. But these restructurings have been going on for decades. The bailout, however, is intended to facilitate a continuation of the destructive financial practices, which have also caused significant hardship to labor.
Obviously, a collapse will also harm workers and other ordinary people, but in the wake of a collapse the country will stand a better chance to restore some sanity to the economy.
Conclusion: Capitalism 101 (A Foundational Course)
Capitalism is the most efficient system known to mankind. Central to this efficiency is the supposed ability of markets to channel capital where it is most effective. The current financial crisis might be expected to throw some doubts on this dogma, but I do not expect that to be the case.
For example, in 2001, in the wake of dot.com bubble, the New York Times reported on one of the many excesses of the period:
As mentioned earlier, the response was not to rethink the system, but to double down lowering interest rates to re-ignite the stock market. Investors, the government, and even ordinary people applauded the decision of Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan, who appeared to be the wisest man in the universe at the time.
Greenspan’s manipulation of the interest rate appeared to be so beneficial, because it occurred without any direct effect on the proverbial taxpayer. Parenthetically, why is it that this taxpayer ranks so much higher in our concern relative to the workers who make everything possible?
In retrospect, Greenspan’s policy provided the fuel that helped to make the current crisis more threatening. Just as the solution to the dot.com crisis produced the current crisis, the present bailout, if it works at all, will create the preconditions for the next one.
The purpose of the bailout is to create confidence. Back in the 19th-century, the governor of Illinois gave an excellent analysis of the way confidence worked in financial markets. He said that confidence “could only exist when the bulk of the people were under a delusion. According to their views, if the banks owed five times as much as they were able to pay and yet if the whole people could be persuaded to believe this incredible falsehood that all were able to pay, this was ‘confidence’.”
His words may perhaps be the most succinct analysis of fictitious capital that I have read.
Now class, here is the question for all the students in Capitalism 101: explain to me how is that markets are so efficient in directing capital where it is most needed. Extra credit if you can do so without any giggles.
Michael Perelman is professor of economics at California State University at Chico, and the author of fifteen books, including Steal This Idea: Intellectual Property Rights and the Corporate Confiscation of Creativity, The Perverse Economy: The Impact of Markets on People and the Environment, Railroading Economics: The Creation of the Free Market Mythology, and The Confiscation of American Prosperity: From Right-Wing Extremism and Economic Ideology to the Next Great Depression. His daily reflections on various political economic issues can be found at his blog, Unsettling Economics.
References:
(1) Michael Perelman, The Confiscation of American Prosperity: From Right Wing Extremism and Economic Ideology to the Next Great Depression, Palgrave Macmillan (2007)
(2) James Boswell, Life of Johnson, 6 vols., Oxford University Press (1934-64)
(3) Diane Coyle, The Weightless World: Strategies for Managing the Digital Economy, MIT Press (1998).
(4) Tom Peters, The Circle of Innovation: You can’t shrink your way to greatness, Knopf (1997).
(5) Alan Greenspan, “Remarks” at the 80th Anniversary Awards Dinner of The Conference Board, New York, October 16, 1996.
(6) Martin Wolf, “Why it is so hard to keep the financial sector caged”, Financial Times, February 6, 2008.
(7) John Bellamy Foster, “The Financialization of Capital and the Crisis”, Monthly Review, April 2008.
(8) Michael Perelman, Marx’s crises theory: Scarcity, labor, and finance, Greenwood Press (1987)
(9) Charles Mackay, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (1852)
(10) Simon Romero, “Shining Future Of Fiber Optics Loses Glimmer”, The New York Times, June 18, 2001.